I don't think US tariffs on Australian agricultural exports are the main conditioning variable here. Australians understand the US domestic politics of agricultural protectionism well enough. The Lowy Institute and United States Studies Centre do extensive polling on Australian attitudes to the US and the US alliance that go well beyond the simple Pew binary. See, for example:
Thanks for sharing. The Lowry results in particular fit w/ my take, a realistic assessment of the utility of being allied to the US but a worry that it will lead to involvement in wars that aren't in Australia's self-interest.
As for agricultural policy, it's not the 1990s any more, and with the free trade agreement passed in 2005 I'd expect antipathy rooted in trade policy to have weakened over time. But I would argue that ag policy still matters more to Aussies (and Aussie politician) than it does to the median American. After all, agriculture accounts for 14% of Australia's total exports, while it's just 7.1% in the US last I checked. So it matters less than in the '90s, but more than in America in the '20s.
I don't think US tariffs on Australian agricultural exports are the main conditioning variable here. Australians understand the US domestic politics of agricultural protectionism well enough. The Lowy Institute and United States Studies Centre do extensive polling on Australian attitudes to the US and the US alliance that go well beyond the simple Pew binary. See, for example:
https://poll.lowyinstitute.org/report/2023/
https://www.ussc.edu.au/analysis/us-midterms-2022-the-stakes-for-australia-and-the-alliance
Thanks for sharing. The Lowry results in particular fit w/ my take, a realistic assessment of the utility of being allied to the US but a worry that it will lead to involvement in wars that aren't in Australia's self-interest.
As for agricultural policy, it's not the 1990s any more, and with the free trade agreement passed in 2005 I'd expect antipathy rooted in trade policy to have weakened over time. But I would argue that ag policy still matters more to Aussies (and Aussie politician) than it does to the median American. After all, agriculture accounts for 14% of Australia's total exports, while it's just 7.1% in the US last I checked. So it matters less than in the '90s, but more than in America in the '20s.